Showing posts with label Valuation: California. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Valuation: California. Show all posts

Monday, March 14, 2016

Are Tech Companies To Blame For Real Estate Bubble In Silicon Valley?


Sure, employees from the tech companies in Silicon Valley drive up demand for housing in that area. But, as  you can see in the video, there are a lot of foreign cash buyers scrambling for houses in the area too.  Buyers from Mainland China seem to be singled out by the video to be the only foreign cash buyers who buy up Silicon Valley.  But there are actually lots of cash buyers from India, the Arab world, Europe etc, etc, who are buying houses, not just in Silicon Valley, but in all major cities all over America.  America doesn't produce much to export or trade with other countries.  But America's land and natural resources are up for sale, and they seem to be the only American-made products that sell well internationally.

Many employees in the Silicon Valley actually have to live outside of the area because despite their higher than average American paychecks, they can't afford to live in the area.  They are priced out too, as a result of the bubble demand for housing in the area.  The bubble demand is shown by empty unoccupied houses owned by investors (foreign and domestic).  If only the people of California can lobby a law to limit the number of unoccupied houses a foreign investor can own, there will be a tremendous ease of housing supply in the market and people will see a drop in rent because owners of those unoccupied houses will have to rent them out fast, or sell them to the local homeowner occupants fast.

But will this kind of law gain support in the State of California?  Not really because lots of home owners in California love to see the price of their homes shot up by investors speculation.  A law that bans or limits foreign non-resident investors from owning unoccupied houses or land, will be a very unpopular ballot among existing California homeowners.  

To reduce real estate speculation caused by bubble foreign demand without creating a law to ban foreign investment in America's residential real estate, America can start telling the truth to the ignorant Chinese cash buyers, "You don't really own anything here in this country.  The houses you are buying are paper thin like the props in your high school plays.  The land underneath the prop is owned by the State government and you are only leasing it perpetually by paying annually adjusted property taxes (for example, $5,000 for a property that is purchased at $385,000, triple that annually if you are buying a shed at $1 million. ) Meanwhile, there is no property taxes in China if you are holding (leasing) a property in China. Yes, the land lease in China is 70 years, but you are also leasing here in the USA with a perpetual land lease that costs you a lot more in annual property taxes (lease payment), than the zero property tax you pay in China.  In China, you don't own the land but you can definitely renew the lease with the government when it is due to expire.

As for investors in other countries, I am sure if only they are told the truth about the annual property taxes in America, they will not be so eager to sink their cash into the real estate market here.   So until the truth is told, or until a law is passed to limit foreign investment, ignorant foreign investors will continue to sheepishly pay big bucks for an asbestos coated shed in the U.S. They naively think they own the land, but they really don't.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

Toyota's Move To Plano Texas Doesn't Ease Housing Crisis Here In California


Guess how much is the above 2,200 sq ft,  4 bedroom, 1.75 bath house (built in the 60s) with a total lot size of 5,500 sq ft is listed?  $895,000!!  Yes, after closing cost and miscellaneous escrow fees, you will need over $900,000 to buy this modest looking house in the California town where Toyota's current headquarter is (which will be no more sometime this year when Toyota's move to Plano Texas is complete).  

Is this a smart investment for $900,000?  I personally don't think so unless your job is actually within 30 minutes commute away from this house.  With $179,000 (20%) as down payment, the monthly mortgage payment for a 30-year mortgage on this house is about $3,600 a month at the current fixed mortgage interest rate of 4%. This doesn't include property tax, which is about 1.2%++ on the $895,000 per year, that you will have to pay, which by the way will also increase every year.

Now for those of you who are fans of book authors who write about how home ownership will make your a millionaire, ask yourself, how much money will you make with $179,000?  If only you don't have to use that on a house's down payment?  Ask yourself if you can rent somewhere with reasonable commute to your work for less than $3,600 a month, which includes water and trash, and which will excuse you from maintenance and upkeep duties, and also the duty to pay for your annual property taxes that is subject to annual increase?

When Toyota announced in 2014 that it would leave California, I was so happy and excited because I thought home prices near Toyota's headquarter here in California will fall and I can get the chance to buy into the area.  Now that Toyota is close to completing its move, home prices near its California headquarter have increased a lot more than the home prices in Plano Texas. That's very disappointing to me.  So, to all the politicians in Texas who constantly brag about how Texas is stealing business from California, can you guys please, please lure more businesses from California to move out of state.  Please  attract Honda to go to Texas too!!  It's because home prices aren't dropping and more people and companies need to move out of California in order to keep housing affordable here in California. 

I really really hope that more companies will just move out of California...for the sake of housing affordability.  It's just too crowded here in California.