Monday, March 14, 2016

Are Tech Companies To Blame For Real Estate Bubble In Silicon Valley?


Sure, employees from the tech companies in Silicon Valley drive up demand for housing in that area. But, as  you can see in the video, there are a lot of foreign cash buyers scrambling for houses in the area too.  Buyers from Mainland China seem to be singled out by the video to be the only foreign cash buyers who buy up Silicon Valley.  But there are actually lots of cash buyers from India, the Arab world, Europe etc, etc, who are buying houses, not just in Silicon Valley, but in all major cities all over America.  America doesn't produce much to export or trade with other countries.  But America's land and natural resources are up for sale, and they seem to be the only American-made products that sell well internationally.

Many employees in the Silicon Valley actually have to live outside of the area because despite their higher than average American paychecks, they can't afford to live in the area.  They are priced out too, as a result of the bubble demand for housing in the area.  The bubble demand is shown by empty unoccupied houses owned by investors (foreign and domestic).  If only the people of California can lobby a law to limit the number of unoccupied houses a foreign investor can own, there will be a tremendous ease of housing supply in the market and people will see a drop in rent because owners of those unoccupied houses will have to rent them out fast, or sell them to the local homeowner occupants fast.

But will this kind of law gain support in the State of California?  Not really because lots of home owners in California love to see the price of their homes shot up by investors speculation.  A law that bans or limits foreign non-resident investors from owning unoccupied houses or land, will be a very unpopular ballot among existing California homeowners.  

To reduce real estate speculation caused by bubble foreign demand without creating a law to ban foreign investment in America's residential real estate, America can start telling the truth to the ignorant Chinese cash buyers, "You don't really own anything here in this country.  The houses you are buying are paper thin like the props in your high school plays.  The land underneath the prop is owned by the State government and you are only leasing it perpetually by paying annually adjusted property taxes (for example, $5,000 for a property that is purchased at $385,000, triple that annually if you are buying a shed at $1 million. ) Meanwhile, there is no property taxes in China if you are holding (leasing) a property in China. Yes, the land lease in China is 70 years, but you are also leasing here in the USA with a perpetual land lease that costs you a lot more in annual property taxes (lease payment), than the zero property tax you pay in China.  In China, you don't own the land but you can definitely renew the lease with the government when it is due to expire.

As for investors in other countries, I am sure if only they are told the truth about the annual property taxes in America, they will not be so eager to sink their cash into the real estate market here.   So until the truth is told, or until a law is passed to limit foreign investment, ignorant foreign investors will continue to sheepishly pay big bucks for an asbestos coated shed in the U.S. They naively think they own the land, but they really don't.

Friday, March 4, 2016

Risk In American Home Buying: Upscale Neighborhood Turns Ghost Town


For many who preach about how home buying is the best and safest investment.  The truth is, home buying can sometimes present more risks than any typical investment.  Home buying being the safest investment is a myth.  What happened in the upscale neighborhood in Porter Ranch, California can happen anywhere in America. (Click here to read a really good article about this on Newsweek magazine.) The average home price in Porter Ranch used to be over US$1 Million, and for many who spent this much to live in a supposedly great suburb with great schools, they found themselves suddenly homeless due to the massive gas leak.  Many residents are worried about not being able to sell their homes.  But then there are always lots of uninformed Chinese immigrants and immigrants from other parts of Asia who may be very eager to pay all cash above any listing price and waive any environmental or structural inspection to buy the houses in Porter Ranch.  It's because many immigrants, particularly the ones from China are often coming with a very real estate obsessed mentality and they will pay cash for anything, since they don't understand how American homes should really be valued. The Chinese just don't understand much about real estate investment in America and are often very naive.  One of the reasons can be because they never got a chance to own their own land and home back in China, and when they did, they were misled by the speculative buying behavior among their own people.

If I were a homeowner in Porter Ranch,  I would quickly get a broker who specializes in selling to the Chinese!!  The Chinese will bail the Porter Ranch residents out of their polluted neighborhood, with loads of cash.